AUSTRALIAN banks will push ahead with debt fund-raising
efforts in global markets, spurred on by the benign results emerging
from a key test of the health of Europe's banks.
Of the 91 institutions involved in the test conducted by
European banking authorities, just seven failed. This was well short of
the 10 or more that had been expected to fail, prompting criticism the
test wasn't tough enough.
The Committee of European Banking Supervisors scrutinises
how banks would withstand a double-dip recession and sovereign debt
crisis. Spain had five failures and Germany and Greece one each.
Collectively they need raise only €3.5 billion ($5
billion) in fresh capital to make themselves secure, much lower than the
€30 billion many in the market were anticipating before the tests took
place.
Australian bank treasurers told BusinessDay yesterday
there was no direct bad news in the results that could trigger renewed
volatility.
Many were fearful a negative outcome would have been
enough to spark a fresh round of global credit market turmoil which
could have pushed up funding costs. Australian banks are heavy users of
international wholesale funds and have experienced a squeeze in margins
as these costs have climbed over the past 18 months.
''While our banks need to raise funds from Europe, the
European banks will be more relaxed about lending to their own,'' Brett
Le Mesurier, of Axiome Equities, said.
Still, analysts said the results were not enough to lay
credit markets worries completely to rest, particularly as the tests did
not allow for a sovereign default. ''Initially there was a feeling the
tests weren't rigorous enough. It seems to be well short of what people
were expecting,'' Phillip Bailey of ADCM Services, a credit market
consultancy, said.
A bank with a ratio below 6 per cent under the European
measure was deemed to have failed and will have to raise capital to push
its ratio above the threshold. The seven that failed were: Hypo Real
Estate (Germany); the Agricultural Bank of Greece; and five Spanish
savings banks: CajaSur, Caixa Catalunya, Caixa Sabadell, Caja Duero-Caja
Espana and Banca Civica.
Several banks just passed the test and could come under
pressure to bolster their capital further. Many had been hoping the test
was an exercise that had the potential to restore market confidence to
the same extent as a similar exercise across US banks early last year.
There, 10 banks were told they needed to raise about
$US75 billion ($86.4 billion). Analysts were tipping at least 10
European banks would fail the threshold.
In May Australian banks passed their own version of a
stress test, with the 20 banks surveyed surviving a simulation of a
severe economic downturn.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/australian-banks-welcome-positive-news-from-european-stress-test-results-20100725-10qin.html